New analysis reveals China is actively operating oil and gas vessels and fixed platforms within Taiwan’s exclusive economic zone (EEZ). The activity, which took place in July and August, is being described by experts as a classic “greyzone” strategy. This approach allows Beijing to test and push territorial boundaries without escalating to open military confrontation. A dozen assets, including large wellhead platforms, were observed, with one vessel reportedly getting as close as 50 kilometers to the restricted waters near the Pratas Islands.
This ongoing presence raises serious questions about the nature of the operations, which analysts say intentionally blur the line between commercial activity and strategic coercion. By repeatedly encroaching on these waters, China aims to normalize its presence and incrementally erode Taipei’s ability to contest or defend its maritime claims. The tactic is a low-risk way for China to assert its influence and challenge the status quo in the South China Sea.
The measured response from Taiwan’s government has surprised some observers. Critics worry that this apparent silence could be misconstrued as an acceptance of the encroachment, potentially normalizing China’s presence in these sensitive areas. Taiwan faces significant legal and practical challenges in mounting an effective response, which complicates any pushback against these incursions. The situation highlights the delicate balance of power and the strategic challenges facing Taiwan.
Some analysts believe the long-term goal of these actions is to gradually redefine the maritime boundaries in the region in China’s favor. The use of commercial vessels for strategic purposes is a key feature of this greyzone strategy. It creates ambiguity, making it difficult for other nations to justify a strong military response. This tactic is a key part of China’s broader strategy to control the South China Sea.
The continued presence of these vessels and platforms in Taiwan’s EEZ represents a significant challenge to regional stability. It forces Taiwan to constantly monitor and respond to incursions while operating under the threat of potential escalation. This situation is a microcosm of the larger geopolitical tensions in the region, where China’s growing assertiveness is challenging established international norms and maritime laws.